What the numbers mean
Fasting glucose of 100–125 mg/dL, or an HbA1c of 5.7–6.4%, is called prediabetes. Above that range is type 2 diabetes. HbA1c reflects your average blood sugar over roughly three months, which is why it doesn't move overnight.
What's happening inside
Cells in muscle, liver and fat stop responding well to insulin. The pancreas compensates by making more of it. For years glucose can look almost normal while insulin quietly climbs — this is why insulin resistance usually starts long before a diagnosis.
Why this stage matters most
In the Diabetes Prevention Program, an intensive lifestyle program targeting 5–7% weight loss and about 150 minutes of weekly activity reduced progression to type 2 diabetes by 58% on average. Individual results vary, and follow-up testing still matters.